Ú¸ÀüÁ÷ °ü¸®µé ¡°Á¤»óȸ´ã °³ÃÖ Àǹ®¡± ¹Ì±¹°ú ºÏÇÑÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­ ¹æ½ÄÀ» ³õ°í ½É°¢ÇÑ °¥µîÀ» ºú°í ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î Áø´Ü ¹Ì ÇàÁ¤ºÎ¿¡¼­ ºÏÇÑ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ´Ù·ð´ø ÀüÁ÷ ¿Ü±³ ´ç±¹ÀÚµéÀº ¹Ì±¹°ú ºÏÇÑÀÌ ºñÇÙÈ­ ¹æ½ÄÀ» ³õ°í ½É°¢ÇÑ °¥µîÀ» ºú°í ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î Áø´ÜÇß´Ù. ¹Ì-ºÏ Á¤»óȸ´ãÀ» Àç°íÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ °æ°í´Â Àü¼ú Â÷¿øÀ» ³Ñ¾î ½ÇÁ¦·Î ½É°¢ÇÑ Â÷ÁúÀ» °¡Á®¿Ã ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù¸ç, ȸ´ã ¼º»ç ¿©ºÎ¿¡ Àǹ®À» Á¦±âÇÏ°Ô ¸¸µç´Ù°í ³»´ÙºÃ´Ù. ¾Æ·¡´Â VOA º¸µµ³»¿ëÀÌ´Ù. ºÏ ÇÙ 6ÀÚȸ´ã ¹Ì±¹ Ãø ¼ö¼® ´ëÇ¥¸¦ Áö³½ Å©¸®½ºÅäÆÛ Èú Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ µ¿¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ´ã´ç Â÷°üº¸´Â ºÏÇÑÀÌ Æò¾ç¿¡¼­ ÀÌ·ïÁø ÆûÆä¿À Àå°ü°úÀÇ È¸µ¿ °á°ú¿¡ ½Ç¸ÁÇÑ °Í °°´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. [³ìÃë: Èú Àü Â÷°üº¸] ¡°I think they realized after Pompeo¡¯s visit to Pyongyang, there was no willingness to work on sanctions step by step, and there¡¯re also seem to be willingness for US only use words and promises and they don¡¯t feel they can give up nuclear program, so I think there was a disappointment at the Pompeo¡¯s visit.¡± Å©¸®½ºÅäÆÛ Èú Àü ±¹¹«ºÎ µ¿¾ÆÅ´ã´çÂ÷°üº¸ °â 6ÀÚȸ´ã ¼ö¼®´ëÇ¥. Èú Àü Â÷°üº¸´Â 16ÀÏ VOA¿ÍÀÇ ÀüÈ­ ÅëÈ­¿¡¼­ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ¡®´Ü°èÀû (ºñÇÙÈ­) ¹æ½Ä¡¯À¸·Î ´ëºÏ Á¦À縦 ÇØÁ¦ÇÒ ÀÇÁö°¡ ¾ø´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» ºÏÇÑÀÌ ±ú´ÞÀº °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸Àδٰí Áø´ÜÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¡°¸»°ú ¾à¼Ó¡±¸¸ µè°í ½ÇÁ¦ ÇÙ ÇÁ·Î±×·¥À» Æ÷±âÇÏÁö ¾Ê°Ú´Ù´Â °Ô ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¼Ó³»¶ó´Â ÁöÀûÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ·Î ÀÎÇØ ¹Ì-ºÏ Á¤»ó °£ ¸¸³² °¡´É¼ºÀº ´õ¿í ³·¾ÆÁ³´Ù°í ³»´ÙºÃ½À´Ï´Ù. [³ìÃë: Èú Àü Â÷°üº¸] ¡°North Korean¡¯s statement yesterday is very serious. I think it speaks for the fact that North Koreans have second thoughts on the entire summit idea, I would raise the chance of summit right now will under 50%.¡± ¹Ì-ºÏ ȸ´ãÀ» Àç°íÇÏ°Ú´Ù´Â ºÏÇÑÀÇ ¼º¸íÀº ¸Å¿ì ½É°¢Çϸç, Á¤»óȸ´ã °èȹÀ» ¿ÏÀüÈ÷ ´Ù½Ã »ý°¢ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸Àδٴ ¼³¸íÀÔ´Ï´Ù. Èú Àü Â÷°üº¸´Â ÀÌÁ¦ ȸ´ãÀÌ ¼º»çµÉ °¡´É¼ºÀº 50% ¾Æ·¡·Î ¶³¾îÁ³´Ù°í °üÃøÇß½À´Ï´Ù. °Ô¸® ¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ±¹°¡¾Èº¸È¸ÀÇ ´ë·®»ì»ó¹«±â Á¶Á¤°ü. °Ô¸® ¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ±¹°¡¾Èº¸È¸ÀÇ ´ë·®»ì»ó¹«±â Á¶Á¤°üÀº ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¹Ì-ÇÑ ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·ÃÀ» µµ¹ßÀ̶ó°í ºñÆÇÇÑ °Ç ÇΰèÀÏ »Ó ½ÇÁ¦·Î´Â ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Á¦¾ÈÇÑ °øµ¿¼º¸í ¹®±¸¿¡ ºÒ¸¸À» Ç¥½ÃÇÑ °ÍÀ¸·Î Ç®ÀÌÇß½À´Ï´Ù. [³ìÃë: ¼¼À̸ð¾î Àü Á¶Á¤°ü] ¡°I think the problem is US¡¯s proposing in language in the summit communique that North Korean can¡¯t accept it, the problem is not the military exercise the problem is disagreement over the language of the summit communique, so if the administration insist on the language, then I think the meeting between Trump and Kim will be delayed or even cancelled.¡± µû¶ó¼­ Æ®·³ÇÁ ÇàÁ¤ºÎ°¡ ÇØ´ç ¹®±¸¸¦ °è¼Ó °íÁýÇÒ °æ¿ì µÎ Á¤»óÀÇ ¸¸³²Àº ´ÊÃçÁö°Å³ª ¾Æ¿¹ Ãë¼ÒµÉ ¼öµµ ÀÖ´Ù°í Àü¸ÁÇß½À´Ï´Ù. ¾Ë·º»ê´õ ¹ö½Ã¹Ù¿ì Àü ÁÖÇÑ ¹Ì±¹´ë»ç. ÁÖÇÑ ¹Ì±¹´ë»ç¸¦ Áö³½ ¾Ë·º»ê´õ ¹ö½Ã¹Ù¿ì ºÏ´ë¼­¾çÁ¶¾à±â±¸(NATO) Àü »ç¹«Â÷ÀåÀº ºÏÇÑÀÇ À̹ø ¹ßÇ¥¸¦ ÈçÈ÷ ºÁ¿Â Àü¼ú·Î ±ÔÁ¤Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ´Â ½É°¢ÇÑ Â÷ÁúÀ» ÀǹÌÇϸç, ºÏÇÑÀÌ Æ®·³ÇÁ ÇàÁ¤ºÎ°¡ ¿ä±¸ÇÏ´Â CVID ¹æ½ÄÀÌ ¾Æ´Ñ Á¡ÁøÀû ºñÇÙÈ­¶ó´Â ¿À·¡µÈ °Å·¡ ¼ö¹ýÀ¸·Î µ¹¾Æ°¡·Á°í ÇÏ´Â °Í °°´Ù´Â ÁöÀûÀÔ´Ï´Ù. [³ìÃë; ¹ö½Ã¹Ù¿ì Àü »ç¹«Â÷Àå] ¡°This may represent the serious setback given that it sounds like North Korea is trying to go back to the kind of old way of doing business in terms of an incremental approach to denuclearization rather than the CVID approach that the administration is looking for. Whether it is a definitive change or tactical maneuver, I am not sure yet but I think it is a very serious setback and calls into question whether the summit in Singapore can take place.¡± ¹ö½Ã¹Ù¿ì Àü »ç¹«Â÷ÀåÀº ºÏÇÑÀÌ È®½ÇÈ÷ ŵµ¸¦ ¹Ù²Û °ÍÀÎÁö ȤÀº Àü¼úÀû Ã¥·«À» ¾²´Â °ÍÀÎÁö È®½ÇÄ¡ ¾ÊÁö¸¸ ÀÌ´Â Áß´ëÇÑ Â÷ÁúÀÌÀÚ ¹Ì-ºÏ Á¤»óȸ´ãÀÇ °³ÃÖ ¿©ºÎ¿¡ Àǹ®À» Á¦±âÇÏ°Ô ¸¸µç´Ù°í ¸»Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ºÏÇÑÀÇ Åµµ º¯È­°¡ ÃÖ±Ù µÎ Â÷·Ê Á¤»óȸ´ãÀ» ¿­¸ç Ä£ºÐÀ» °ú½ÃÇÑ Áß±¹°ú ¿¬°üµÆ´Ù´Â ºÐ¼®µµ ³ª¿Ô½À´Ï´Ù. µ¥´Ï½º ¿ÍÀÏ´õ Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ´ã´ç ¼±ÀÓº¸Á°ü. µ¥´Ï½º ¿ÍÀÏ´õ Àü ¹é¾Ç°ü ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ´ã´ç ¼±ÀÓ º¸Á°üÀº Áß±¹°úÀÇ °ü°è°¡ °³¼±µÈ µ¥ ¾È½ÉÇÑ ±èÁ¤Àº À§¿øÀåÀÌ ¿À·£ °¢º»(playbook)À» ´Ù½Ã ²¨³» µç °ÍÀ̶ó°í Áø´ÜÇß½À´Ï´Ù. [³ìÃë: ¿ÍÀÏ´õ Àü º¸Á°ü] ¡°I think North Koreans are feeling more confidence because the Chinese relationship has become closer again. So they are feeling that they have more leverage in the relationship because they have more Chinese support. So what we are seeing is that Kim is going to back to the old playbook, because he feels he can now that he¡¯s secured his relationship with Beijing.¡± ¿ÍÀÏ´õ Àü º¸Á°üÀº ºÏÇÑÀÌ Áß±¹°ú ´Ù½Ã °¡±î¿ö Áö¸é¼­ ´õ Å« ÀڽۨÀ» °®°Ô µÈ °ÍÀ¸·Î º¸À̸ç, Áß±¹ÀÇ ÁöÁö¸¦ ´õ Å« Áö·¿´ë·Î È°¿ëÇÏ·Á´Â °Í °°´Ù°í ºÐ¼®Çß½À´Ï´Ù. VOA ´º½º ¾È¼Ò¿µÀÔ´Ï´Ù. VOA 2018.05.17 12:32